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- <text id=93HT1024>
- <title>
- 52 Election: A Study in Ballots
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1952 Election
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- November 17, 1952
- THE NATION
- A Study in Ballots
- </hdr>
- <body>
- <p> "Every presidential election really is a self-portrait of
- America...Into that portrait go all their inherited
- traditions; the clashings of different economic, social and
- sectional interests; the tensions of race, religion and color, as
- well as the strivings toward tolerance and Americanization; the
- transitions of aging and rising generations, the tenacious grip
- of memories of the past; the ferments of hopes for the future."
- </p>
- <p>-- Samuel Lubell in The Future of American Politics.
- </p>
- <p> The dominant fact of last week's American self-portrait is
- that Ike Eisenhower's attraction crosses almost the whole varied
- range of U.S. sections, ethnic and religious groups and economic
- interests.
- </p>
- <p> Eisenhower did especially well among three groups: 1) women,
- 2) suburbanites, and 3) nw voters.
- </p>
- <p> Statistical proof of the women's vote is impossible because
- voting records are not filed by sex and there are no "women's
- precincts." But in traditionally pro-labor districts of Indiana,
- for example, election officials opened voting machines at noon
- "for repairs," found Ike leading after a heavy morning's vote by
- women. In Pawtucket, R.I., a Democratic poll-watcher cast his eye
- over long lines of women waiting to vote on election morning and
- commented: "Republican women always come out early. The only
- thing is that this time there are twice as many Republican
- women."
- </p>
- <p> Murder in the Suburbs. The enormous development of row upon
- row of new suburban homes was a postwar phenomenon familiar to
- any cross-country airplane passenger. Prewar suburbs were
- normally Republican. But the transplanting of hundreds of
- thousands of prospering city dwellers-many of them Democrats-
- raised the question of which way the suburbs would go. The
- Volunteers for Eisenhower were the first to spot the
- possibilities of the suburban areas, turned in big Republican
- leads from New York's bedroom counties all across the U.S. Even
- in deep-Democratic Georgia. Atlanta's three suburban "fingerbowl"
- districts gave Ike a 3-1 lead. Said Chicago's Democratic Boss
- Jack Arvey (after the Democrats had lost his Cook County): "The
- suburbs were murder."
- </p>
- <p> Some of Ike's legions of first voters were young men whose
- adult memories began not in Depression, but during World War II.
- Said a young C.I.O. worker, as he tried to explain the election
- to C.I.O.-P.A.C. boss Dan Bodell in St. Joseph County, Indiana:
- "You stood in bread lines but we stood in chow lines."
- </p>
- <p> Tapping the Coalition. Ike's new blocs were not of
- themselves powerful enough to carry the day. To win, Ike had to
- get some of the vote away from the old Roosevelt coalition of
- Southerners, labor, farmers and Northern minority groups.
- </p>
- <p> Farmers, who were frightened into Democratic columns in 1948
- by the Administration's grain-storage scare, flopped resoundingly
- back to the G.O.P. Example: in 1948 Truman carried seven rich
- farm counties in southern Minnesota. This time Ike got them all.
- Pocahontas County, in northwestern Iowa, is a cash grain area
- which has been Democratic since 1928. Ike got 64%. Indiana's
- Hamilton County gave Dewey 63% of its vote in 1948; it gave Ike
- 73%.
- </p>
- <p> Many labor precincts polled about as many Democratic votes
- as they had in 1938. Autoworking Detroit, by dint of tremendous
- C.I.O. effort, did somewhat better. But in the national picture,
- because of the overwhelmingly big vote, the Democrat-labor
- portion fell of drastically. In one organized factory after
- another. Ike buttons blossomed out after union leaders had made a
- pitch for Stevenson.
- </p>
- <p> Republican Omen. Ike cut effectively into the Democrats'
- minority strongholds. U.S. Roman Catholics have been voting about
- 75% Democratic, but this year many were concerned over the airy
- manner with which Democratic leaders dealt with evidence of
- Communist influence. Pawtucket, R.I., a center of Catholic
- population, gave Truman 75% in 1948, gave STevenson only 59%.
- Polish Catholics of Chicago's 32nd ward cut the Democratic margin
- from 74% to 66%. Chicago's heavily Irish CAtholic 18th ward
- (policemen, firemen, small-home owners) went for Ike by 55%, as
- compared with its 49% for Dewey in 1948. Probably, a majority of
- Catholic voters stayed Democratic, but the percentage was cut
- down at least to 60%.
- </p>
- <p> The Jewish vote kept its big Democratic margin, but the edge
- was about 10% narrower than in 1948.
- </p>
- <p> Of all the minority blocs, only the Negroes stood fast for
- the Democrats, in both the North and South. In many states
- Stevenson got a higher numerical Negro vote than Truman, but the
- total Negro vote did not increase as much as the total state
- vote.
- </p>
- <p> A Popularity Contest. Ike generally ran well ahead of G.O.P.
- Congressmen and local office holders. Hence his victory was
- clearly more of a personal victory than a party victory.
- Complained a Democratic leader in Omaha: "We had the darkest
- horse in history, and he was running against a household word."
- (A darker horse: Judge Alton B. Parker, Democratic presidential
- candidate in 1904, defeated by Theodore Roosevelt by 2,600,000.)
- But the election cannot properly be considered as a mere
- popularity contest between two men. Stevenson was stuck with the
- liabilities and the assets of his party's record.
- </p>
- <p> Among devoted Stevensonians a myth is growing that Harry
- Truman lost the campaign for Stevenson. Actually, it would be
- hard to say whether Truman's speeches hurt more than they helped.
- Certainly, Truman was right when he called himself the key to the
- campaign. The Democrats had to stand on the New Deal-Fair Deal
- record, and Stevenson knew this: he vigorously defended the
- record and praised Truman's campaigning. Of itself, Stevenson's
- own record could never have been made the basis of a campaign
- against Eisenhower's.
- </p>
- <p> The campaign was "logical," as logic goes in politics. It
- was happily not fractionalized into a host of little pressure-
- group appeals. The shifting industrial workers, housewives and
- Midwestern farmers were all moved by the same or similar
- arguments. Since this is not a homogeneous country, voting
- patterns always have to be examined by groups. Sometimes, such an
- examination shows groups moving the same way for different and
- even contradictory reasons. That was definitely not the case in
- 1952.
- </p>
- <p> Therein lies the basis for a new national unity and a more
- vigorous domestic and foreign policy.
- </p>
- <p>Record Vote
- </p>
- <p> The 1952 presidential election brought out the biggest vote
- in U.S. history, more than 60 million turnout represented more
- than 61% of U.S. adults. In 1948, only 52% of those over 21
- voted.
- </p>
- <p> A good deal of credit for the 1952 showing goes to a
- spectacular get-out-the-vote drive sparked by American heritage
- Foundation, a nonprofit, nonpartisan agency. Beginning last June,
- the foundation (chairman: New York Banker Winthrop Aldrich; vice
- chairman A.F.L. President William Green) went hammer & tongs to
- obtain the cooperation of civic groups, broadcasters, editors,
- educators, cartoonists, advertisers.
- </p>
- <p> Statistical comparisons indicated that the U.S. electorate
- still has a lot of ground to recover before it does as well as in
- 1880, when 78.4% of all potential votes were cast. It is even
- further away from the performances of Belgians, who voted 90%
- strong in 1950, or Britons who voted 83% in 1951. Laziness or
- indifference, however, may not be the most important factor in
- the U.S. voting record. Americans are a mobile people; upwards of
- 30 million changed residence in 1951. Silence most states and
- counties have long residence requirements, a lot of shifting
- citizens temporarily lose their vote every election. Needed, in
- conjunction with the drive for more voters: an updating of U.S.
- state election laws to keep pace with peripatetic Americans.
- </p>
-
- </body>
- </article>
- </text>
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